Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 8.680352 9.904566 11.245684 12.824897 14.634979 16.646466 19.053613
2025-12-28 7.211605 8.861302 10.810240 13.286492 16.355090 20.040866 24.816211
2026-01-04 6.306025 8.166462 10.485484 13.596432 17.673510 22.852794 29.960571
2026-01-11 5.713538 7.726209 10.348458 14.028004 19.079792 25.804047 35.487329
2026-01-18 4.994153 7.007357 9.731356 13.703976 19.380635 27.247054 39.057184
2026-01-25 4.447134 6.448871 9.250433 13.479893 19.744650 28.746649 42.780340
2026-02-01 3.997612 5.973270 8.824667 13.267309 20.067608 30.169354 46.472106
2026-02-08 3.615822 5.553905 8.431491 13.047556 20.331565 31.490740 50.089409
2026-02-15 3.288197 5.181999 8.069062 12.828095 20.554444 32.738350 53.668607
2026-02-22 3.173478 5.127891 8.185078 13.360401 22.000008 36.015841 60.820155
2026-03-01 3.000793 4.963222 8.107579 13.564477 22.914923 38.492718 66.843216
2026-03-08 2.793932 4.723081 7.884499 13.500634 23.363012 40.210551 71.692413
2026-03-15 2.590361 4.474279 7.630968 13.369729 23.695437 41.778455 76.467985
2026-03-22 2.509387 4.429019 7.718095 13.837983 25.122278 45.385680 85.303176
2026-03-29 2.411094 4.343883 7.726606 14.161737 26.308097 48.649192 93.794000
2026-04-05 2.339518 4.299988 7.802818 14.611904 27.760927 52.520284 103.814679
2026-04-12 2.161113 4.044879 7.474549 14.273901 27.680543 53.471931 108.137935
2026-04-19 2.013109 3.834977 7.213188 14.040160 27.777657 54.764767 113.257195
2026-04-26 1.879579 3.642267 6.969123 13.818419 27.875408 56.057853 118.483857
2026-05-03 1.756426 3.460288 6.731689 13.589207 27.935040 57.270871 123.641476
2026-05-10 1.643415 3.289867 6.503994 13.360304 27.972997 58.435123 128.790614
2026-05-17 1.624427 3.307249 6.650534 13.915521 29.707401 63.306455 142.626607
2026-05-24 1.569935 3.247506 6.635880 14.128389 30.720662 66.710200 153.455220